Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 10.093779 11.402871 12.908139 14.788586 17.106124 19.912006 2.363541e+01
2024-12-15 8.119788 9.766216 11.855163 14.782521 18.926053 24.841202 3.448823e+01
2024-12-22 6.977831 8.722589 11.078625 14.645387 20.224592 29.293897 4.705508e+01
2024-12-29 6.398957 8.258394 10.905157 15.195294 22.564166 36.223029 6.914931e+01
2025-01-05 5.685284 7.480267 10.119342 14.586786 22.752859 39.368175 8.659259e+01
2025-01-12 5.102333 6.811006 9.385545 13.892907 22.553018 41.611892 1.046855e+02
2025-01-19 4.678218 6.327554 8.869284 13.461701 22.719323 44.770696 1.311462e+02
2025-01-26 4.396828 6.029654 8.606689 13.424190 23.668554 50.434724 1.811738e+02
2025-02-02 4.362848 6.108539 8.965515 14.597958 27.662093 67.786199 3.817422e+02
2025-02-09 4.251165 6.048952 9.076440 15.307725 30.866208 86.388287 8.740053e+02
2025-02-16 4.055795 5.832734 8.882622 15.346848 32.349037 100.373261 1.941779e+03
2025-02-23 3.936616 5.732862 8.886480 15.812491 35.257451 126.089710 1.205230e+04
2025-03-02 3.696152 5.426895 8.511022 15.447302 35.817676 142.627558 4.198180e+06
2025-03-09 3.507670 5.200704 8.272029 15.382842 37.481399 173.061318 NaN
2025-03-16 3.330664 4.979750 8.017809 15.232732 38.831526 207.954297 NaN
2025-03-23 3.243435 4.910395 8.053576 15.815587 43.364028 304.863488 NaN
2025-03-30 3.051691 4.637241 7.647678 15.170205 42.557125 329.229507 NaN
2025-04-06 2.868829 4.369480 7.231108 14.435249 41.092676 338.988761 NaN
2025-04-13 2.725476 4.166249 6.932501 13.979028 40.740208 374.586009 NaN
2025-04-20 2.629017 4.043930 6.792641 13.939360 42.363668 481.667354 NaN
2025-04-27 2.639238 4.120876 7.082295 15.182045 51.494993 1202.535779 NaN
2025-05-04 2.607669 4.115750 7.193147 15.934873 59.042449 3377.485406 NaN
2025-05-11 2.529990 4.016196 7.082911 15.976398 62.281965 7970.384763 NaN